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Today’s latest market updates feature GE T&D India’s ₹490 Cr order from Power Grid, Aurobindo Pharma to consider share buyback on July 18, Tata Steel’s outlook changed to negative by Fitch Ratings, RVNL’s ₹132.6 Cr project from the central railway, plus other global market news.
GE T&D India received a ₹490 crore order from Power Grid for SCADA/EMS control centres.
Aurobindo Pharma's board will meet on July 18 to consider an equity share buyback.
Fitch Ratings changed Tata Steel's outlook to negative due to UK business uncertainty.
RVNL received a ₹132.6 crore project from the central railway.
India's industrial production was 5.9% in May 2024.
June's CPI inflation was 5.08%, higher than the estimated 4.8%.
EMS received a ₹141 crore project from Uttarakhand Power Corporation.
FIIs bought ₹4,021.60 crore in equities, while DIIs sold ₹1,651.45 crore on Friday.
Today's Earnings Release: HCL Tech
US Share Market News
Performance Overview:
Wall Street closed higher on Friday, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average hitting intraday record highs.
This was fueled by expectations that the US Federal Reserve would cut interest rates in September. However, big banks fell after reporting mixed results.
Economic Indicators:
Uncertainty over the US political situation kept risk appetite in check. Investors are also awaiting key corporate earnings reports in the coming days as the second-quarter earnings season begins in earnest.
Traders are betting on a 94% chance of a rate cut by September, up from 78% a week ago, according to CME Group's FedWatch.
Sector-Specific Movements:
The Nasdaq gained 0.63%, closing at 18,398.45 points, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.62%, ending at 40,000.90 points.
The small-cap Russell 2000 rallied for the third consecutive day, gaining 1.1% and reaching its highest level since 2022.
Meanwhile, the S&P 400 Mid Cap index rose 0.9%. Despite these gains, both indexes have lagged behind the S&P 500 this year.
Stock-Specific Action:
Some of the market's most valuable companies rebounded after a dip in the previous session. Both Apple and Nvidia climbed over 1%.
Corporate Earnings:
Goldman Sachs will report earnings before the bell on Monday.
Morgan Stanley and Bank of America will release their results on Tuesday.
Additionally, Johnson & Johnson, United Airlines, and Netflix will report earnings during the week.
Other Asset Classes
Treasury Yields:
The 10-year Treasury yield was slightly lower on Friday as investors looked past a hotter-than-expected wholesale inflation reading. The yield dropped by one basis point to 4.182%, compared to 4.28% at the end of last week.
Currency:
The dollar index, which measures the US currency against six others, fell 0.24% to 104.09, hitting 104.04, its lowest level since June 7. On Friday, the yen reached an almost four-week high against the US dollar, raising speculation that Japanese authorities intervened the second day to support the currency.
Commodities:
Crude oil futures fell on Friday, snapping a four-week winning streak as the recent rally lost momentum. The West Texas Intermediate August contract dropped by 41 cents, or 0.5%, to $82.21 per barrel. The Brent September contract decreased by 37 cents, or 0.43%, to $85.03 per barrel.
Gold prices held above the key $2,400 per ounce mark on Friday and were heading for their third straight weekly gain. This was due to growing investor confidence that the US Federal Reserve would soon lower interest rates.
Asian Markets
General Trends:
Asia-Pacific markets climbed on Monday. This week, China’s top leaders are gathering for the highly anticipated Third Plenum meeting, which analysts expect to focus on high local government debt levels and advanced manufacturing rather than the real estate sector.
Key Chinese economic data, including second-quarter GDP numbers, will be released on Monday.
Specific Index Performance:
South Korea’s Kospi rose by 0.44%, while the small-cap Kosdaq increased by 0.22%.
Japan’s markets were closed for a public holiday.
India Market Outlook
GIFT Nifty Projection:
Gift Nifty indicates a positive opening for the Indian market.
After a strong start, Nifty is likely to consolidate within the range of 24,450 to 24,680 amid stock-specific activity.
Nifty Short-Term Outlook:
Benchmark indices traded within a range with a positive bias, marking a sixth consecutive week of gains.
Nifty hit a fresh all-time high of 24,592 and closed the week at 24,502, up by 0.73%.
Bank Nifty traded within a range, closing slightly lower by 0.72% at 52,278.
The broader market exhibited higher volatility and closed the week flat.
The index formed a bullish candle, indicating a continued upward move, and nearly reached the target area of 24,600-24,700.
The Nifty's bias remains positive, sustaining above 24,600-24,700 opening potential upside towards 25,000 in the coming week.
Key short-term support is at 24,140.
Intraday Levels:
Nifty: Intraday resistance is at 24,610, followed by 24,680 levels. Conversely, downside support is located at 24,450, followed by 24,380.
Bank Nifty: Intraday resistance is positioned at 52,690, followed by 52,900, while downside support is found at 52,150, followed by 51,900.
Fin Nifty: Intraday resistance is positioned at 23,750, followed by 23,870, while downside support is found at 23,550, followed by 23,740.
Derivative Market Analysis
Nifty:
The highest put OI is at 24,000, and the highest call OI is at 25,000, indicating a broad range for the index.
There was a significant put OI addition at 24,400, while large call OI additions were seen at 24,900 and 25,500, suggesting strong base formation at the lower end.
The 24,500 straddle is a key trend-deciding level for the week, with immediate resistance at 24,700 and important support at 24,400.
The Nifty put-call ratio decreased by 0.01 to 1.28.
Bank Nifty:
For Bank Nifty, the highest call OI is at 54,000, and the highest put OI is at 52,000, defining its broader range.
Significant put OI addition occurred at 52,500, while call OI additions were noted between 52,500 and 53,000.
Active call writing above 52,500 indicates a limited upside for the index.
Immediate resistance is at 52,500, and important support is at 52,000.
The Bank Nifty put-call ratio decreased by 0.03 to 0.86.
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