BAJAJ BROKING
Bajaj Broking’s CY25 Strategy Report highlights a positive market outlook with Nifty targeting 28,700. Key topics include multi-dimensional analysis, sectoral performance insights, top stock recommendations, and opportunities driven by global and domestic trends. Learn how to optimize your portfolio.
A Positive Market Outlook for CY25
Bajaj Broking’s CY25 strategy reaffirms a bullish stance for the Indian equity market. Following nine consecutive years of market gains, the Nifty is projected to rise further, aiming for a target of 28,700. This represents an anticipated 19% return over the next 12 months. Despite the corrective phase in late CY24, the primary trend remains robust, driven by strong domestic and global factors.
Key support levels for Nifty are pegged at 22,500-21,700, with analysts confident that the index won’t sustain below these levels. Investors are advised to leverage the "buy-on-dips" strategy during corrections to accumulate high-quality stocks.
To ensure an unbiased outlook, Bajaj Broking implemented a multi-dimensional analytical framework. The approach integrates:
Bottom-Up Stock Screening: Categorizing Nifty constituents into outperformers, bargain buys, market performers, and underperformers.
Conventional Charting Techniques: Verifying targets through top-down analysis.
Global Market Trends: Leveraging insights from the US presidential election cycle and MSCI index performance.
Bottom-Up Stock Categorization
The Nifty analysis reveals:
This categorization underlines a positive momentum for 70% of index constituents, reinforcing the bullish outlook.
The report identifies key sectors that are poised to perform in CY25:
Banking
The Bank Nifty is expected to climb to 62,500, supported by higher highs and lows on yearly charts. The key support zone is at 47,000-47,500. Investors should capitalize on corrections for entry opportunities.
IT
The IT index, after a 27% gain in CY24, is set to continue its uptrend. The breakout above a long-term rounding formation suggests a target of 52,700. Key support lies between 39,000-38,000.
Realty
The Realty Index has maintained a positive bias with a 40% gain in CY24. A bullish flag breakout positions the index for a target of 1,340. The support zone ranges between 950-900.
Infrastructure
The Nifty Infra index is projected to reach 10,200, resuming its long-term uptrend after a minor correction. Key support levels are set at 7,400-7,800.
Emerging Markets
India is set to lead the outperformance among emerging markets. The MSCI India index has rebounded from its lower channel, signaling a strong upside in CY25.
Global Trends
US Presidential Election Cycle: Historical data shows an average return of 17%-37% in the year following a US election, with India’s Sensex delivering an impressive 37% average.
Domestic Trends
Robust SIP Flows: The consistent rise in systematic investment plan (SIP) contributions reflects increasing financial awareness and market resilience.
Bajaj Broking’s report features five top stock recommendations, backed by rigorous technical and fundamental analysis:
Prestige Estates
Breakout above bullish flag formation.
Diversified business model with a strong launch pipeline.
HUDCO
Rebound from long-term EMA with robust urban infrastructure financing opportunities.
Laurus Labs
Positioned for growth in the CDMO and synthesis segments.
HSCL
Breakout above long-term supply line; strong growth trajectory in specialty chemicals.
ITD Cementation
Cup-and-handle pattern breakout; robust order pipeline in infrastructure projects.
Risks
Mitigation
Bajaj Broking’s CY25 Strategy Report offers a comprehensive roadmap for navigating the financial markets. With a multi-dimensional analysis framework, robust sectoral insights, and carefully curated stock recommendations, the report underscores the potential for sustained market gains. Investors are encouraged to align their portfolios with these insights to optimize returns while managing risks effectively.
By understanding global trends, leveraging domestic opportunities, and focusing on strategic investments, CY25 promises to be a year of significant wealth creation for informed investors.
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