BAJAJ BROKING
Bajaj Broking’s exclusive Diwali 2024 stock picks feature Tech Mahindra, BEL, and more, with up to 38% upside potential. Detailed technical and fundamental analysis highlights the top stocks for maximizing returns this festive season.
As the festival of lights approaches, Diwali brings not only celebrations but also an auspicious time for investments in the stock market. For 2024, Bajaj Broking’s research desk has handpicked exclusive stocks to help investors maximize returns. Backed by in-depth technical and fundamental analysis, these picks offer great potential for significant upside within a 12-month horizon.
India’s economy is expected to remain resilient through the end of 2024, bolstered by strong domestic consumption and government initiatives. Inflationary pressures, particularly from food prices, are predicted to ease towards the latter half of the year. However, intermittent, and uneven monsoon patterns could still elevate food prices over the next few months. This and stronger economic growth could increase inflationary pressure as demand outstrips supply in certain sectors.
On a positive note, inflation is forecasted to return to the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) target of 4% by early 2025. The Indian government’s ambitious goal of transforming the country into a $5 trillion economy by 2027 remains a critical driver of growth, with several sectors expected to lead the charge, including IT, defense, utilities, and consumer goods. As India continues to modernize its infrastructure, the stock market presents abundant opportunities for long-term investors.
Information Technology (IT)
The IT sector continues to play a pivotal role in India’s economic development. With businesses across the globe ramping up digital transformation initiatives, the demand for IT services is expected to grow significantly. Indian IT giants like Tech Mahindra are well-positioned to capitalize on this trend, offering services in areas such as artificial intelligence, cloud computing, and cybersecurity. With robust demand for technology solutions across sectors, IT stocks are likely to continue their upward momentum.
Defense
India’s defense sector is poised for massive growth, supported by the government’s increased defense spending and its focus on indigenization. Companies like Bharat Electronics Limited (BEL) are at the forefront of India’s defense modernization, benefiting from large government contracts and expanding their market share. The defense sector is set to be a major contributor to India’s $5 trillion economic goal, with rising demand for advanced technologies in aerospace and defense electronics.
Utilities
The utilities sector is integral to India’s long-term development goals, particularly in the context of urbanization and infrastructure development. Companies like CESC, which provide essential services such as electricity, are expected to see steady growth. As India moves towards renewable energy and strengthens its power infrastructure, utility companies are likely to benefit from both regulatory support and rising energy consumption.
Healthcare and Pharmaceuticals
The healthcare and pharmaceutical sectors have seen significant growth in recent years, driven by rising healthcare needs and government initiatives to make healthcare more accessible. Companies like AWHCL, which are involved in hospital and healthcare services, are well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for medical facilities and services. The sector’s growth is underpinned by India's expanding population and increasing healthcare awareness.
Consumer Goods
The consumer goods sector remains a critical pillar of India's economic growth. Companies like Agro Tech Foods, which are engaged in the packaged food industry, are seeing robust demand due to rising consumer health awareness and shifting preferences towards healthier food options. With increasing disposable income and growing urbanization, consumer goods companies are expected to experience strong revenue growth in the coming years.
Here’s a detailed breakdown of each stock, including its technical patterns, buying range, target prices, and expected upside.
Fundamental Outlook:
Tech Mahindra has a strong foothold in the IT services industry, offering digital transformation, cloud computing, and cybersecurity solutions to clients globally. The company's consistent financial performance, coupled with its ability to innovate, has placed it among the top contenders in the IT space. The increasing demand for digital solutions, coupled with Tech Mahindra’s global reach, makes it a solid long-term investment. Additionally, the company's focus on AI and machine learning technologies positions it well for future growth.
Technical Outlook:
Tech Mahindra has broken out of a 30-month range, signaling strength and an extension of its upward trend. This breakout above its long consolidation phase is a bullish sign, indicating the potential for further gains. The stock’s moving averages support this upward trend, and the breakout is accompanied by strong volume, indicating confidence among institutional investors. With a clear support base at ₹1680, the stock is well-positioned for a continued rise toward the target of ₹2120.
Why Invest?
Tech Mahindra’s consistent performance, combined with its growth in the digital services space, makes it a solid candidate for long-term investment. The 25% upside is driven by its capacity to scale digital solutions globally, benefitting from increased IT spending by businesses.
Technical Outlook:
BEL’s chart shows a breakout above a 30-month consolidation phase, signaling an extension of its uptrend. The breakout is supported by strong volume, suggesting buyer confidence at higher price levels. The stock is currently trading in the ₹266-rs274 range, with a target of ₹358. This breakout above resistance levels indicates that BEL is likely to maintain its upward momentum, driven by positive technical indicators.
Fundamental Outlook:
BEL is a key player in India’s defense modernization efforts, specializing in advanced defense electronics. The company benefits from government contracts and is positioned to grow further as India increases its defense spending. BEL’s consistent earnings growth, coupled with its strategic partnerships and innovations, make it a top pick in the defense sector. Its commitment to research and development ensures that it remains at the forefront of technological advancements in defense systems.
Why Invest?
BEL is at the forefront of India's defense modernization, and its contracts with the government will likely boost revenue. With a 33% upside potential, it is a robust pick for Diwali 2024.
Technical Outlook:
CESC has broken out of a long-term trendline that has persisted for 15 years, indicating a structural turnaround. This breakout, accompanied by strong volume, suggests that the stock is building a solid base for continued gains. Trading in the ₹180-₹190 range, CESC is poised for an upward move towards ₹248. The technical indicators point to further upside as the stock consolidates above its previous resistance levels.
Fundamental Outlook:
CESC, a major utility company, is well-positioned to benefit from India’s growing power needs. With a focus on both conventional and renewable energy sources, CESC has diversified its portfolio to meet the demands of the future. The company’s stable cash flow, coupled with increasing demand for electricity in urban and rural areas, positions it for steady growth. Furthermore, regulatory support for the utilities sector adds another layer of confidence for long-term investors.
Why Invest?
With India’s focus on renewable energy and infrastructure expansion, CESC stands to benefit from rising energy consumption. The 34% upside makes this a high-potential pick for your portfolio.
Technical Outlook:
AWHCL is currently trading above its previous major breakout area, signaling strength and further upward movement. The stock is forming a strong base, with support levels well-defined in the ₹700-₹745 range. With a target of ₹990, AWHCL’s technical indicators suggest continued bullish momentum, supported by solid volume and positive moving averages.
Fundamental Outlook:
AWHCL is involved in healthcare services, a sector that is witnessing robust growth in India. The company is benefiting from increased healthcare spending, both from the government and private sector. With a focus on expanding its network of hospitals and healthcare facilities, AWHCL is well-positioned to capitalize on rising healthcare demand. Its solid balance sheet and strategic expansion plans make it a promising pick for long-term growth.
Why Invest?
AWHCL is well-positioned in its industry, and the stock’s technical signals suggest a continued uptrend, offering an attractive 38% upside potential.
Technical Outlook:
Agro Tech Foods has been trading within a downward channel for the past two years, and it is now on the verge of breaking out of this pattern. The stock’s monthly MACD has generated a buy signal, confirming the likelihood of a trend reversal. The stock’s trading range is between ₹910 and ₹970, with a target of ₹1230. The technical breakout points to a resumption of its uptrend, making it a buy candidate.
Fundamental Outlook:
Agro Tech Foods operates in the consumer goods sector, with a focus on packaged and healthy food products. The growing demand for healthier food options and the company’s strategic initiatives to expand its product portfolio have positioned it for long-term growth. Agro Tech’s strong distribution network and brand recognition further enhance its market position. With a focus on innovation and consumer preferences, the company is set to capture a larger market share in the coming years.
Why Invest?
With increasing focus on consumer health and packaged foods, Agro Tech is poised for growth. The stock’s technical breakout and strong fundamentals make it an attractive investment, with a 32% potential upside.
These stock picks have been selected based on technical analysis, indicating potential price breakouts and strong upward trends. However, investors must consider the following factors before making investment decisions:
Diversify Your Portfolio: The above picks span different sectors, offering a balanced portfolio approach. Diversification helps mitigate risks associated with sector-specific volatility.
Track Sectoral Trends: Keep an eye on government policies, particularly for defence, utilities, and consumer goods sectors. These sectors are likely to witness strong growth due to government initiatives and consumer demand.
Monitor Breakout Levels: As these stocks have technically broken out, they offer a good buying opportunity. However, investors must monitor key resistance levels and reassess if stocks fall below their buying ranges.
Diwali is a time for new beginnings, and this festive season could mark the start of high returns for investors who choose wisely. Bajaj Broking’s exclusive stock picks for Diwali 2024 provide excellent opportunities with substantial upside potential. From Tech Mahindra’s IT dominance to BEL’s defense capabilities, these picks offer a robust portfolio mix across key growth sectors.
Whether you are a seasoned investor or a beginner, these carefully curated stocks are backed by thorough research and present a great chance to reap rewards in the upcoming months.
Disclaimer: Investments in the securities market are subject to market risk, read all related documents carefully before investing.
This content is for educational purposes only. Securities quoted are exemplary and not recommendatory.
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