Tax Reforms and Investor Sentiment
The biggest boost that the Union Budget 2024 can give to salaried individuals is by reducing their tax burden. This budget can be a game-changer for the middle class. Here’s how:
1. Currently, the new tax regime does not have deductions or exemptions for leave travel allowance, housing rent allowance, medical insurance premiums, and interest on home loans for houses occupied by salaried individuals. This affects salaried people.
2. The Finance Minister could provide some of these deductions under the new tax regime.
3. Expectations are also that the budget may hike the standard deduction limit of Rs. 50,000 which was last increased in April 2020.
4. Salaried individuals expect the government to increase the limit for exemption of child education allowance.
5. If the budget fulfils these expectations, people will be able to save more and invest more. It’s good for investors and excellent for the stock market.
Fiscal Policies and Market Dynamics
The government’s fiscal policy can have a huge impact on the stock market. Fiscal policy is at the heart of an economy. In this context, all investors should be concerned about the following aspects:
1. As per many experts, the budget will retain the fiscal deficit target of 5.1% of GDP, which was provided by the interim budget.
2. This means that the government will maintain the policy of fiscal prudence, which shows that it’s not likely to increase its expenditure substantially.
3. If the government maintains or lowers the deficit target, it will give a signal of stability to the stock market because it will show that the government’s finances are in control.
4. The government is expected to improve its expenditure on long-term projects while keeping its fiscal deficit in check. This shows that the infrastructure sector may get a boost.
5. If the infrastructure sector gets a boost from the budget, infrastructure stocks may go up.
Conclusion: A Transformative Budget for India’s Stock Market
This budget can end up being a game-changer for the Indian stock market. The main factor is that this is the first budget of the Modi 3.0 government, which was recently formed at the centre.
Hence, the Finance Minister can lay down her vision for the next 5 years. Besides, the RBI has transferred substantial dividends to the government. As a result, the government’s fiscal health is looking good, which means it may announce tax relief for salaried people and give a boost to agriculture and the rural economy.
If the budget fulfils these expectations, both rural and urban consumers will have more money. Hence, they will be able to save and invest more, which is good for the stock market. So if you are an investor in stocks or are thinking of opening a demat account, you should be extremely excited about this budget.
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Disclaimer: Investments in the securities market are subject to market risk, read all related documents carefully before investing. This content is for educational purposes only. Securities quoted are exemplary and not recommendatory.
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