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The Reserve Bank of India surprises markets with a dividend of ₹2.11 lakh crore to the government, double expectations. This surplus eases government borrowing, lowers fiscal deficit, and boosts capital spending. Analysts anticipate further surplus transfers in the coming fiscal year.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has declared a historic dividend payout of ₹2.11 lakh crore to the central government for the fiscal year 2023-24, doubling the previous year's figure. This surpasses market predictions, significantly impacting government finances.
The unexpected dividend exceeds the ₹1.02 lakh crore budgeted by the government for dividends from financial institutions. This surplus reduces the government's reliance on market borrowing, thereby influencing yields on 10-year government bonds, which have dropped below 7%.
Additional Read: RBI Monetary Policy 2024 | What to Expect
Experts anticipate that the surplus transfer will aid in lowering the fiscal deficit and provide additional funds for capital expenditure. The announcement comes as a boon for the new government post-elections, potentially shaping its economic policies.
RBI's dividend calculation includes maintaining a contingent risk buffer at 6.5% of its balance sheet, aligning with recommendations from the Bimal Jalan committee. The transparency in this process reassures markets and investors.
Additional Read: Understanding RBI's New Guidelines on Penal Charges for Loans
Analysts foresee a surplus transfer of ₹1 Lakh Crore in the fiscal year 2024-25, indicating continued financial strength. With public sector banks also reporting record profits and dividends, government revenues are expected to surpass budgeted figures, providing stability to the economy.
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