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Today’s share market’s key updates include how Rail Vikas Nigam secures ₹837.67 crore Eastern Railway project. RITES revises Lumding project to ₹531.77 crore. Cochin Shipyard partners with SLET. HG Infra bags ₹1,110 crore NTPC project. Zomato approves ₹8,500 crore QIP; FIIs sell ₹1,278.37 crore Friday.
1- Rail Vikas Nigam | The company has received a Letter of Acceptance (LoA) from Eastern Railway for an infrastructure project involving earthwork, bridge construction, and railway track laying. The contract is for a value of ₹837.67 crore. RVNL is leading the project through its joint venture with SCPL, holding a 74% share, while SCPL holds 26%.
2- RITES | The company has received revised estimates for its railway electrification project in the Lumding-Badarpur (LMG-BPB) section of the Lumding division, under Northeast Frontier Railway (NFR). The revised total cost for the turnkey project stands at ₹531.77 crore, excluding GST, which marks an increase from the original cost of ₹288.44 crore.
3- Cochin Shipyard | The company entered into a MOU with Seatrium Letourneau USA, Inc. (SLET) for the design and critical equipment for jack-up rigs for the Indian Market. This collaboration combines CSL's extensive expertise in ship construction and engineering with SLET's renowned design capabilities in offshore drilling technology.
4- HG Infra Engineering | The company signed a Letter of Award (LoA) with NTPC Vidyut Vyapar Nigam Ltd under the tariff-based global competitive bidding process. Under the LoA, HG Infra will handle 185 MW/370 MWh of the total capacity at a tariff rate of ₹2,38,000 per MW per month. The project is valued at approximately ₹1,110 crore and has a completion timeline of 1.5 years.
5- ZOMATO | Zomato secures shareholders' nod to raise ₹8,500 crore through QIP to bolster its balance sheet.
6- Cash Segment Provisional - FIIs net sell ₹1,278.37 cr while DIIs net buy ₹1,722.15 cr in equities on Friday.
US Share Market News
Performance Overview:
Focus this week is squarely on upcoming PCE price index data, which is the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge. The reading is set to offer more cues on the path of interest rates and comes amid some doubts over whether the central bank will cut interest rates in December.
Sector-Specific Movements:
The Dow closed a fresh record high on Friday, as the rotation into cyclical stocks including industrials continued to propel stocks higher amid weakness in technology stocks.
On Friday The Dow Jones Industrial Average outpaced its peers, rising nearly 1% to finish at 44,296.51 points on Friday. The S&P 500 rose 0.4% to 5,969.30 points, while the NASDAQ Composite lagged, rising 0.2% to 19,003.65 points.
Trump's promises of tax breaks and U.S.-centric policies saw investors favouring stocks with more exposure to the U.S. economy. Plays out of tech stocks were also furthered by a somewhat middling earnings outlook from the tech major NVIDIA Corporation.
Economic Indicators:
Business activity data, released earlier Friday, showed that the US economy remained relatively healthy, adding to strong jobless claims data released last week.
Other Asset Classes
Treasury Yields:
The 10-year Treasury yield edged lower on Friday as investors weighed mixed economic data and assessed the state of the economy. The yield on the 10-year Treasury sat at 4.412%, down just about 2 basis points.
Currency:
The euro fell to a two-year low while the dollar gained on Friday after gauges of business activity were released in each region. The dollar index rose 0.5% to 107.53 on Friday. The dollar index declined 0.6% to 106.92 on Sunday. This marks a slight pullback from the index’s 0.8% gain last week, during which it hit a one-year high.
Commodities:
Gold prices breached the $2,700 threshold for the first time in over two weeks on Friday, on track for their biggest weekly gain in nearly two years, as safe-haven demand outweighed dollar strength and lower expectations of a U.S. rate cut next month. Spot gold surged 1.5% at $2,709.24 per ounce.
Oil prices rose on Friday, posting a weekly gain of more than 5%, as the Ukraine war intensified and Chinese imports were set to increase in November. Brent crude futures climbed 94 cents, or 1.27%, to close at $75.17 a barrel.
Asian Markets
General Trends:
Asia-Pacific markets rose on today's morning trade, with investors awaiting a slew of economic data this week including the Korea central bank’s rate decision and India’s third-quarter GDP numbers.
Specific Index Performance:
Other economic data this week include China’s year-to-date industrial profits up to October, due on Wednesday.
Japan’s Nikkei 225 was 1.19% up, while the broad-based Topix rose 0.83%.
South Korea’s Kospi gained 0.93%, and the small-cap Kosdaq saw a larger rise of 1.76%.
India Market Outlook
GIFT Nifty Projection:
Gift Nifty suggests a gap-up opening for the Indian market. In today’s session, we expect the Nifty spot to trade with positive bias in the range of 24400-24000.
Market in Previous Session:
Indian benchmark indices on Friday registered their strongest single-day surge in over five months, fuelled by sector-wide buying predominantly led by large-cap stocks and a rebound in Adani group stocks. In today’s session, the market will react to the outcome of state assembly elections in Maharashtra and Jharkhand along with other global triggers.
On Friday’s session, the Sensex surged 1,961 points or 2.54% to settle at 79,117, while the Nifty climbed 557 points or 2.39% to finish at 23,907.
All sectoral indices finished in the green, with PSU Bank, IT, FMCG, energy, and realty sectors registering gains of 2-3%.
Bank Nifty also traded with a positive bias as the index closed the session higher by 1.5% at 51135. The broader market relatively underperformed on Friday as the Nifty Midcap index increased by 1.2%, while the Small-cap index rose by nearly 0.9%.
Nifty Short-Term Outlook:
The Index has formed a strong bull candle which engulfed last five sessions price action. In the process, Nifty closed above the immediate hurdle area of 23800 signalling the reversal of the corrective trend.
Going ahead, we expect the index to extend Friday’s pullback and head higher towards 24400-24500 levels in the coming sessions being the confluence of the 50-day EMA and the 38.% retracement of the entire decline (26277-23263).
We believe dips if any in the coming sessions should be used as a buying opportunity. Index for immediate basis has support at 23700 levels bias remain positive above the same. The key short-term support is placed at 23300-23000 levels being the confluence of the 200-day EMA, a major trendline support and key retracement area.
Intraday Levels:
Nifty: Intraday resistance is at 24,400 followed by 24,530 levels. Conversely, downside support is located at 23,900, followed by 23,780.
Bank Nifty: Intraday resistance is positioned at 52,150, followed by 52,500, while downside support is found at 51,250, followed by 51,000.
Derivative Market Analysis
Nifty:
The highest Call OI has been noted at 24,500, while immediate Call OI is placed at 24,000, which will serve as resistance.
The highest Put OI addition has been observed at the 23,500 level, which acts as strong support. Put writers have shifted their positions to higher levels, indicating a positive data point.
An accumulation of both Call and Put OI at the 23,900 level indicates the Straddle formation.
The broader range, as per option chain analysis is between 23,500 and 24,000 either side of the range break will trigger further directional movement.
The Nifty Put-Call ratio has increased by 0.25 and is now positioned at 1.19.
Bank Nifty:
The highest Call OI has been noted at 53,000, while immediate Call OI is placed at 51,500, which will serve as resistance.
The highest Put OI addition has been observed at the 51,000 level, while Call writers have unwound their positions at the same strike, suggesting a strong support level and positive data point.
The immediate range for Bank Nifty is between 51,000 and 51,500, and a break on either side of this range could trigger further directional movement.
The Bank Nifty Put-Call ratio has increased by 0.24 and is now positioned at 1.15.
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