If you are new to the stock market, you might have wondered what stock valuation is. In simple words, it means what the actual worth of a company is. Suppose you want to buy a share in a company, how will you decide whether to buy it or not?
For that, you’ll have to find its value. It is this process of finding a stock’s true or intrinsic value, which is known as stock valuation. Now that you have learnt the meaning of stock valuation, let’s delve deeper into this topic.
What is Stock Valuation?
When we attempt to find the value of a company’s stock, it’s understood that we are performing stock valuation. At any point in time, we know the market price of all the publicly listed stocks. But how do we decide whether to buy or sell them?
For this purpose, investors employ various techniques to find the true or intrinsic value of stocks. If the value thus found is less than the market price, they buy that stock. However, if the value they have found is more than the market price of a stock, they sell it.
Types of Stock Valuation
There are broadly two types of stock valuation methods: absolute valuation and relative valuation. Under absolute valuation, we have methods that try to find the true or intrinsic value of a stock. To find the true value, we focus on the fundamentals of a company, like how much dividends it pays, how much free cash flow it generates, etc. Under this approach, we don’t compare the valuation of a company with that of other similar companies. Common methods used under this approach are: discounted cash flow model, dividend discount model, etc.
Under relative valuation, we compare the multiples like price-to-earnings (P/E) of a company with that of similar companies to find out whether it’s over- or under-priced. As we compare companies with each other, it’s called the relative approach towards valuation.
Methods of Stock Valuation
Let’s discuss a few popular methods of stock valuation.
1) Dividend Discount Model or DDM: This method falls in the category of absolute valuation. It assumes that the value of a company is equal to the present value of its dividend payouts in the future. It’s advisable only for those companies that pay dividends regularly and that show stable growth in their dividends.
2) Discounted Cash Flow Method or DCF: This method is also a variation of absolute valuation. It assumes that a company’s value can be determined by first estimating its free cash flows in the future and then discounting them to find their present value.
3) Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Method: This is a relative valuation method. Here, we find a ratio of a company’s price per share to its earnings per share. This shows us how much we are willing to pay for every rupee of profit a company generates. Then, we compare the P/E of a company with that of its closest rivals. If its P/E is lesser than that of its rivals, it’s a signal that we can buy it. If its P/E is higher, it shows that we can sell it.
How to Choose the Right Valuation Method
The right valuation method for a company depends upon the context and the nature of the company. For example, the dividend discount model works well when a company pays dividends regularly and its dividend payout is growing at a stable rate. Similarly, the DCF method works well when a company has consistently generated free cash flows and is expected to do so in the future. Besides, its free cash flows are expected to grow at a stable rate.
You may be wondering why these conditions are necessary for these models to work. For the DDM model, we need to estimate how much dividends a company will pay. We can do so only based on its past record. If it has paid dividends regularly in the past and its dividends grew at a stable rate, it becomes easier to predict future dividends.
Similarly, if a company has generated free cash flows regularly in the past and such cash flows grew at a stable rate, it becomes easier to predict them in the future. Hence, these methods become applicable.
Now, let’s discuss when we can use the P/E method. For this, we first need a company’s stock price, which can be available only if it's listed publicly. Then, we need its earnings per share. Suppose a company is making losses, we can’t use this method because its P/E multiple will be negative, which is of no use. So, a company should be making profits. Besides, its net profit in the last few years should not have been too volatile because that will not provide a realistic picture of its profit-generating capacity.
Conclusion
It’s not difficult to learn what stock valuation is or how to use various approaches. The trick is to understand and appreciate which method can be used for which company. That comes with experience and practice.
If you have just opened your demat account and are beginning to analyse companies to find their valuation, you should bear in mind that typically we use more than one method to find a company’s value. In other words, you can’t rely on just one method for stock valuation. Therefore, you should learn all the most prominent methods thoroughly and get a grip on when these methods should be used. After that, you’ll be able to use them like a seasoned investor.
Disclaimer: Investments in the securities market are subject to market risk, read all related documents carefully before investing.
This content is for educational purposes only. Securities quoted are exemplary and not recommendatory.
For All Disclaimers Click Here: https://bit.ly/3Tcsfuc