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Why Gold Rate is Increasing?

Gold has always been and continues to be a timeless investment choice, cherished for its stability and cultural significance, especially in the Indian market. Its enduring appeal lies not only in its financial security but also in its role as a symbol of love, heritage, and wealth, passed down through generations. What sets gold apart is its ability to act as a safe haven, offering a protective cushion against market volatility. For investors, gold remains a reliable shield in uncertain times, making it a classic choice for wealth preservation.

However, gold prices have been increasing significantly every day. When thinking about investing in or buying gold, it is natural to wonder why it happens. What leads to this increase in gold prices? Continue reading as we delve deep into this phenomenon as to why gold prices increase. 

Gold Price History in India Over Years

The following table gives an idea of the Gold price increase over the years in India.

Year

Average gold price (per 10 grams)

2016

Rs. 28,500

2017

Rs. 29,500

2018

Rs. 31,000

2019

Rs. 35,000

2020

Rs. 49,500

2021

Rs. 52,000

2022

Rs. 48,500

2023

Rs. 64,500

2024

Rs. 71,385

Factors that Influence Gold Prices 

As mentioned, the gold prices rising every day has been a common phenomenon. There are a variety of factors affecting gold prices. Here are some of them. 

  • Demand and Supply Dynamics

When it comes to factors affecting gold prices, demand and supply are prominent factors leading to the price change. 

As a unique item with a high value, the scarcity of gold further enhances its attraction and price. 

The gold demand increases because of a variety of factors, including geopolitical factors, economic tensions, and more. 

  • Inflation Hedge

As mentioned, gold has always been used as a financial cushion against unplanned circumstances. This means it also serves as a financial hedge. 

In case of inflation where the value of conventional investments might go up and down, investors tend to invest in gold. It acts as a financial safeguard where it maintains a good value without much effect of the devaluation of the currency, and much more. Thus making gold an attractive option even for uncertain times, leading to an increase in its prices. 

  • Interest Rate Influences

The rate of interest is another factor influencing gold demand and prices. How, you ask? Well, there is an inverse relationship between the rate of interest and gold. This means with a lower rate of interest, gold becomes a more attractive investment option. Plus, it also becomes a suitable alternative to other low-yielding investments. 

Alternatively, a comparatively higher rate of interest means a decline in the appeal of gold. This happens because other sources of investment now become more attractive and profitable. Thus causing a decline in gold prices and demand.

  • Cultural and Seasonal Trends

One of the crucial factors affecting gold prices or leading to a rise in gold prices is the festive season or seasonal trends. You might have noticed how gold prices generally rise during cultural festivals. Ever wondered why that happens? 

Well, gold has always been a traditional item in India and is given a huge cultural importance. This is the reason why gold is a highly demanded piece of jewellery at weddings and other festivals. This surge in demand during festive seasons can lead to gold prices rising during the same. 

  • Government Actions and Reserves

Another factor that affects gold prices is the government's actions and policies. For example, the sale and purchase of gold reserves by the government can lead to an increase or decrease in gold prices. Similarly, if the government also engaged in big global purchases, the same can impact gold prices even in the global market. 

Further, RBI transactions can also influence price changes. 

  • US Dollar Value 

While most of you might not be aware of this, gold is also sold and purchased using the US dollar. This means any change in the value of the US dollar also changes the price of gold. This ultimately means with a strengthening of dollar value, the price of gold decreases. Alternatively, a weakening of the dollar means a rise in gold prices. The same happens because of the high demand from investors to use gold as a financial hedge against economic uncertainties and inflation. 

Why is Gold So Valuable?

Now that you know what leads to gold prices rising and falling in the global and domestic markets, let's move ahead. Let's explore what makes gold this valuable. 

Well, first, the value of gold remains precious and comparatively consistent because of its historical and cultural significance. The scarcity of the metal also makes it valuable. For a long time, gold has been attracting societies because of its rarity and aesthetics. From being used as a medium of exchange to possession to showcase wealth and status, gold has been used for several purposes. 

It also established its importance from being used as a store of value to being a hedge against economic uncertainties. Additionally, gold also possesses certain unique properties, making itself an important metal that can be used for various purposes, like in aerospace or electronics. 

All in all, the traditional significance, scarcity and rarity of the metal, along with its diverse uses, enhance the value of gold. 

Gold Prices Increase Significantly

Gold establishes its value owing to a bunch of things, like rarity, cultural significance, and more. However, several factors have been impacting the gold prices. Here are some of the most popular and known trends of rising gold prices. 

Oct 2024: From standing at ₹60,282, the gold prices rose to ₹78,577 per 10 gm, showcasing an increase of 30% since Diwali 2023. 

May 2023: With an increase in the US Federal rate of interest, gold prices reached a new high of ₹62,270 per 10 gm. 

March 2022: The market fluctuations caused by the Ukraine-Russia conflict and the predictions of inflation led to gold prices rising in the year 2022. The gold prices stood around ₹55,000 per 10 gm.

Impact of Rising Gold Prices

  • Investment shifts: The periodic Gold price increase is at the core its role as a hedge against economic and market uncertainty during periods of uncertain times. Investors increase allocations to gold as a safe holding when other investments decline. Central bank reserve diversification purchases of gold also propel prices.
  • Jewellery market dynamics: Rising Indian gold prices, a major consumer, drive jewellery demand, especially at significant cultural occasions. Consumers can switch to lighter or alternative options, driving the jewellery sales and profitability, which must react to evolving consumer preferences.
  • Technology sector adjustments: The technology sector, where gold is utilized because of its excellent electrical conductivity, is finding the cost of production rising as prices are escalating. This may decrease profit rates or price electronic items higher, which can affect what individuals desire to buy.
  • Inflationary hedge: Exploring why Gold rate is increasing shows it as a traditional hedge against inflation, maintaining its value when the purchasing power of currency declines. Investors turn to gold as a safeguard, further driving prices up as they seek to preserve their wealth amid rising inflation.
  • Currency effects: A weaker currency in gold-importing countries like India explains why Gold rate is increasing, significantly inflating domestic prices. When the local currency depreciates against the US dollar, gold imports become more expensive, contributing to higher domestic prices.
  • Economic policy implications: Rising gold prices influence interest rates and monetary policy as central banks respond to changing economic conditions. Inflationary pressures may lead to adjustments in fiscal policies aimed at controlling economic imbalances and stabilizing the economy.

How the Increase in Gold Prices Affects the Indian Economy

India's deep-rooted connection to gold means that understanding why Gold rate is increasing is key to seeing how it significantly affects its economy. As one of the world's largest gold consumers, primarily for jewelry, higher prices lead to increased import costs. This rise adds to the trade deficit and strains India’s forex reserves, which may lead to a depreciation of the rupee.

Consumers experience reduced purchasing power, especially in rural areas where gold serves as a store of wealth. This can dampen demand for gold jewelry, impacting the jewelry sector and related industries. Rising gold prices can also contribute to overall inflation, increasing the cost of other commodities and affecting household budgets.

However, analyzing why Gold rate is increasing reveals how it can drive investment as investors seek a hedge against inflation and economic instability. This shift can impact financial markets, with more funds moving from equities to gold. Grasping these factors is essential to assess how increasing gold prices affect India's overall economic condition and financial resilience.

Conclusion

Gold has been a timeless investment for investors looking for safe yet valuable investments. From being looked at as a traditional heritage to an inflation hedge, gold provides a financial cushion Against market fluctuations. However, before making a final decision, make sure to consider factors like your financial goals, inflation, and more to make an informed decision. 

Additional Read: How to Invest in Digital Gold

Disclaimer: Investments in the securities market are subject to market risk, read all related documents carefully before investing.

This content is for educational purposes only. Securities quoted are exemplary and not recommendatory.

For All Disclaimers Click Here: https://www.bajajbroking.in/disclaimer

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main reasons behind the recent rise in gold prices?

Answer Field

Several reasons cause an increase or decrease in gold prices. Some of the common factors affecting changes in gold prices are its demand and supply, rate of interest, the influence of the US dollar, government policies, and so on.

How does inflation impact the price of gold?

Answer Field

Inflation is one of the crucial factors affecting the price of gold. For instance, in cases of inflation or other economic uncertainties, investors see gold as a financial hedge. It maintains its value even with the devaluation of currencies, making it an attractive choice. This means more people are willing to invest in gold, leading to an increase in prices.

What role do political events play in driving up gold prices?

Answer Field

Political events like geopolitical conflicts, wars, and elections play a crucial part in influencing gold prices. Investors tend to look for safe investments during such events and gold maintains a reputation of safe investment. Thus, events like these lead to gold prices rising around the year.

How do interest rates influence gold prices in the market?

Answer Field

Interest rates and gold prices have an inverse relationship. This means an increase in interest rates causes a decrease in gold prices and vice versa.

Is it a good time to invest in gold when prices are rising?

Answer Field

Your decision to invest in gold even when prices are rising depends on factors like your financial goals, strategy, and much more. You may consider factors like inflation, government policies, etc before investing. The diversification, value, and utility of gold are some reasons to invest in gold.

Why Gold Rate is Increasing in India?

Answer Field

Gold rates in India are rising due to multiple factors, including inflation, geopolitical tensions, and fluctuating currency values. A weaker rupee against the dollar increases import costs, making gold more expensive. Additionally, rising global demand and central banks purchasing gold contribute to the price surge. Investors seeking a safe-haven asset further push prices higher.

How Does Investor Sentiment Influence Gold Prices?

Answer Field

Investor sentiment plays a crucial role in determining why gold price is rising. During economic uncertainty or stock market volatility, investors shift towards gold as a hedge, increasing its demand and price. Higher inflation expectations also drive sentiment, prompting people to invest in gold to preserve wealth. Conversely, a strong economy with high-interest rates reduces gold’s appeal, affecting its price negatively.

Will Gold Prices Continue to Rise in India?

Answer Field

Predicting future gold prices depends on inflation trends, global economic stability, and central bank policies. If inflation remains high and geopolitical risks persist, gold rates may continue rising. However, factors like government interventions, strong equity markets, or rising interest rates could limit further price surges. Monitoring global trends will help understand why gold rate is increasing and its potential movement.

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