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Global stocks edged higher. Dow rose by 0.55%. S&P 500 gained 1.01%, and the Nasdaq increased 1.13%. Treasury yields and crude prices fluctuated. Stay updated with key data points and market trends for informed investment decisions.
1. India grants Navratna status to SJVN, NHPC, RailTel and Solar Energy Corporation of India
2. SEBI tightens eligibility criteria for stocks to enter the F&O segment
3. GPTInfra declared the lowest bidder for a project worth Rs 204 cr from South East Railways Kolkata
4. NBCC board approves 1:2 bonus issue, fixes October 7 as record date
5. MOIL cuts prices of Ferro-Grade Manganese Ores with Manganese content of Mn-44% and above by 20%
6. India's GST collections rise 10% to ₹1.75 lakh crore in August
7. FIIs net buy ₹5,318.14 cr while DIIs net sell ₹3,198.07 cr in equities yesterday
US Share Market News
Performance Overview:
Global stocks edged higher in choppy trading on Friday, making it the fourth consecutive month of gains despite a bout of heavy selling in early August.
The U.S. personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index - which is the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure - rose 0.2% in July, according to Commerce Department data released on Friday.
Sector-Specific Movements:
The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended 0.55% higher to 41,563.08, reaching the second consecutive record high close.
Benchmark S&P 500 gained 1.01% to 5,648.40 and the Nasdaq Composite gained 1.13% to 17,713.62.
The US stock market will be closed Today for the Labor Day holiday.
Economic Indicators:
For the month, the Dow finished up 1.8%, the S&P 500 added 2.3%, and the Nasdaq gained 0.6%.
For the week, the S&P 500 increased 1.5%, Nasdaq was up 1.4%. & Dow also advanced by 1.3%.
Other Asset Classes
Treasury Yields:
The US two-year yield was up by 2.4 basis points to 3.91%, while the 10-year rate was up by 4.2 basis points to 3.90%.
Currency:
The dollar index measures against major peers edged up to 101.79, a level last seen on Aug 20.
Commodities:
Brent crude futures fell 0.7%, to $76.36 a barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude slipped 0.7%, to $73.05 a barrel.
The losses followed a 0.3% decline for Brent last week and a 1.7% drop for WTI crude.
The OPEC+ is set to proceed with a planned oil output hike from October.
Gold prices weakened but gained 2.8% on a monthly basis. Spot gold lost 0.74% to $2,502.44 an ounce. U.S. gold futures settled 1.3% lower at $2,527.6
Asian Markets
General Trends:
Asia-Pacific markets open mixed on Monday as investors look toward a packed week of economic data and assess China's business activity figures released over the weekend.
Among the economic data coming out from major markets in the region are inflation data from South Korea, Australia's second-quarter GDP data, as well as data on pay and household spending from Japan later this week.
China released its official purchasing managers' index data for August. The manufacturing PMI fell to a six-month low of 49.1, a faster contraction compared to the 49.4 seen in July.
Specific Index Performance:
Japan's Nikkei 225 was up 0.94%, crossing the 39,000 mark for the first time since July 31, while the broad-based Topix was 0.49% higher.
In contrast, South Korea's Kospi lost 0.49%, while the small-cap Kosdaq was marginally lower.
Australia's S&P/ASX 200 slipped 0.43%.
Hong Kong Hang Seng index futures sat at 17,785, lower than the HSI's last close of 17,989.07.
India Market Outlook
GIFT Nifty Projection:
Gift Nifty suggests a positive opening of 25 points for the Indian markets. Nifty spot post a positive opening is likely to consolidate in the broad range of 25,150 -25,380
Market in Previous Session:
Benchmark Indices gained for the third week in a row amid firm global cues. Nifty had started the week on a strong note and thereafter consolidated with a positive bias and closed near the high of the week up by 1.66% at 25,235 levels.
The broader market extended its outperformance as the Nifty Midcap and small cap closed the week higher by 1.3% and 1.19% respectively.
After a dip from profit booking the previous day, the broader market rebounded quickly on Friday. At close, the Sensex was up 231 points or 0.28% at 82,365.77, and the Nifty was up 83.90 points or 0.33% at 25,235.90.
Out of the 13 sectoral indices, the FMCG index was the sole laggard.
Nifty Short-Term Outlook:
Going ahead bias continues to remain positive We expect the index to extend the current up move towards 25550 levels in the coming week being the 138.2% external retracement of the recent breather (25078-23894).
The index continues to form a higher high-low in the weekly chart, which makes us confident to revise the support base higher towards 24900-24700 levels being the confluence of the 20-day EMA and last week's low. We believe dips if any towards the support area should be
used as a buying opportunity.
Intraday Levels:
Nifty: Intraday resistance is at 25,380 followed by 25,280 levels. Conversely, downside support is located at 25,150, followed by 25,080.
Bank Nifty: Intraday resistance is positioned at 51,620, followed by 51,800, while downside support is found at 51,200, followed by 51,080.
Fin Nifty: Intraday resistance is positioned at 23,750, followed by 23,820, while downside support is found at 23,485, followed by 23,400.
Derivative Market Analysis
Nifty:
The highest put OI is positioned at 25000 followed by the 25200 level, whereas the highest call OI is positioned at 26000 followed by the 25700 level. If 25200 is broken, Nifty can march towards 25000 levels. On the upside, the immediate resistance is 25500.
We saw good call writing at 25700 and 25800 level indicating there is more room on the upside. Put writers were active between 25200 and 25300 indicating a strong base formation on the lower end.
According to option chain analysis, a broader range for Nifty is 25000 - 25700.
The Nifty put-call ratio decreased by 0.01 and is now positioned at 1.41
Bank Nifty:
The highest put OI concentration stands at 51000 level whereas the highest call OI concentration is at 51500 level. If 51000 is broken, Bank Nifty can march towards 50000 levels. If it manages to stay above the 51500 level, we can see the index touching the 52000 level.
We saw good call unwinding between 51000 at 51300. The positions got shifted between 51400 - 52000 and strikes indicated strong resistance. Put writing was seen at 50800 making it a crucial support.
According to the option chain analysis, a broader range for Bank Nifty is between 51000 and 52000.
The Bank Nifty put-call ratio increased by 0.09 and is now positioned at 0.92
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