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Share market news today features Adani Enterprises’ ₹4,200 QIP, GR Infraprojects’ letter of acceptance (LoA) worth ₹903.5 crore for Nagpur Metro, Star Health Insurance’s massive data leak, CCI’s approval for acquisition of home & personal care business by Patanjali Foods, plus FII-DII activities.
Adani Ent launches QIP, sets floor price at ₹3,117.475 per share.
Rashtriya Chemicals awarded a ₹1,000 crore contract to L&T for a new fertiliser plant in Maharashtra.
G R Infraprojects receives letter of acceptance (LoA) worth ₹903.5 crore from Maharashtra Metro Rail Corp.
Patanjali Foods: Competition Commission of India (CCI) approves acquisition of home & personal care business by Patanjali Foods.
Star Health suffers massive data leak: Hackers claim data of over 3 crore customers has been compromised.
FIIs net sold ₹4,562.71 crore, while DIIs net bought ₹3,508.61 crore in equities yesterday.
US Share Market News
Performance Overview:
The S&P 500 closed higher on Wednesday as investors continued to digest clues on interest rates from the Federal Reserve, ahead of fresh inflation data and Tesla's robotaxi event.
Sector-Specific Movements:
The S&P 500 rose 0.7% to 5,792.04 points on Wednesday, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average surged 1% to 42,512.0 points — a record closing high. The NASDAQ Composite gained 0.6% to 18,291.82 points.
Economic Indicators:
On the economic front, the consumer price index for September, due Thursday, will offer investors fresh clues on the path of monetary policy. There are growing concerns that achieving the last mile of getting inflation to the 2% target will likely be more challenging than initially expected, given the strength of the labour market.
While a "substantial majority" of Federal Reserve policymakers backed the central bank's jumbo rate cut in September, there were signs that some members preferred starting the rate-cutting cycle with a more modest cut due to concerns about the strength of the economy, according to the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s Sept. 17-18 meeting released Wednesday.
Traders were pricing in a 75.5% chance of a 25 bps cut and a 24.5% chance of a hold in November, CME Fedwatch showed.
Focus this week is also on the third-quarter earnings season, with a string of major banks set to report on Friday.
Other Asset Classes
Treasury Yields:
U.S. Treasury yields ticked higher on Wednesday as investors digested the Fed meeting minutes and prepared for inflation data. The 10-year Treasury yield rose nearly 4 basis points to 4.073%.
Currency:
The U.S. dollar held on to earlier gains against a basket of major currencies after minutes from the Fed’s latest meeting showed that policymakers were not committed to continuing unusually large half-percentage-point rate cuts. The U.S. Dollar Index Futures was up 0.36% at 102.68.
Commodities:
U.S. crude oil edged lower on Wednesday after a steep selloff in the previous session. The Brent December contract fell by 0.78%, to $76.58 per barrel.
Gold retreated for the sixth straight day on Wednesday as the advancing dollar and diminished expectations of a larger rate cut in November weighed on the precious metal. Spot gold fell 0.5% to $2,607.7 per ounce.
Asian Markets
General Trends:
Asia-Pacific markets opened mostly higher on Thursday, following gains on Wall Street, where the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average reached new records as investors shrugged off geopolitical concerns.
Specific Index Performance:
Japan’s Nikkei 225 opened 0.5% higher, while the broad-based Topix gained 0.4%.
South Korea’s Kospi rose 0.2%, while the small-cap Kosdaq declined 0.2%.
India Market Outlook
GIFT Nifty Projection:
Gift Nifty suggests a positive opening for the Indian market amid firm global cues.
The Nifty, following a positive start, is expected to trade with a positive bias and move towards the 25,250 level, provided it holds above Wednesday's low of 24,947.
Market in Previous Session:
Indian benchmark indices failed to maintain their intraday gains in the final hour of trading and ended slightly lower after a volatile session on Wednesday.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) kept its key policy rates unchanged amid concerns over inflation and geopolitical risks, while shifting its policy stance to neutral from "withdrawal of accommodation." The Monetary Policy Committee left the repo rate unchanged at 6.5% for the 10th time in a row.
At the close of trading, the Sensex dropped 167.71 points or 0.21% to 81,467.10, while the Nifty declined by 31.20 points or 0.12% to 24,981.95.
Among sectors, except for FMCG (which fell 1.57%) and oil & gas (down 0.67%), all other indices closed in the green, with gains of 1-2% in pharma, power, and realty.
Nifty Short-Term Outlook:
Nifty, on the daily chart, has formed a high-wave candle signalling consolidation amid stock-specific action. The index managed to form a higher high and higher low in Wednesday's session and is seen sustaining above the support area of 24,700-24,800.
In line with expectations, the index has rebounded from the September lows amid oversold conditions on the daily stochastic. We expect it to extend the last two sessions' pullback and move higher towards 25,250 and 25,400 levels in the coming sessions.
On the upside, key resistance is placed at 25,500-25,700, which marks the gap-down area of last Thursday and 61.8% retracement of the previous decline (26,277-24,694). Short-term bias remains negative below this range.
Key support is placed at 24,700-24,800. A breach below this will signal an extension of last week's decline.
Intraday Levels:
Nifty: Intraday resistance is at 25,160, followed by 25,290 levels. Conversely, downside support is located at 24,890, followed by 24,750.
Bank Nifty: Intraday resistance is positioned at 51,530, followed by 51,790, while downside support is found at 50,810, followed by 50,560.
Derivative Market Analysis
Nifty:
For Nifty, the highest call OI is at 25,500 followed by 26,000, while the highest put OI is at 24,500 followed by 25,000.
Significant call OI buildup between 25,100 and 25,500 suggests strong resistance at higher levels.
If Nifty stays above 25,000, it could rise to 25,200, but if it falls below 25,000, it might drop to 24,800.
The broader range is between 24,800 and 25,200, with the put-call ratio currently at 0.54.
Bank Nifty:
For Bank Nifty, the highest call OI is at 52,000 followed by 53,000, while the highest put OI is at 51,000 followed by 50,000.
A large addition of call and put OI at 51,000 indicates a straddle formation, making it a key level to monitor.
Active call writers between 51,000 and 52,000 create a strong resistance zone. The put-call ratio stands at 0.92.
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