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Today’s latest market updates feature BHEL’s ₹10,000 Cr project from Damodar Valley, UltraTech Cement's 32.72% stake acquisition in India Cements for ₹3,954 Cr, ITC Hotels' demerger likely to list by the end of 2024, Glenmark Life's Ankleshwar facility receives closure notice by GPCB, plus other global market news.
BHEL has received a ₹10,000 crore project from Damodar Valley Corporation.
UltraTech Cement's board has approved acquiring a 32.72% stake in India Cements for ₹3,954 crore at ₹390 per share.
ITC Hotels' demerger is set to be completed in 6 months, with a potential listing by the end of 2024.
Glenmark Life's Ankleshwar facility has been issued a closure notice by the Gujarat Pollution Control Board.
Chalet Hotels plans to add 200 more rooms this year.
PNB has revised its FY25 guidance, lowering the GNPA ratio to around 4% and credit cost to below 0.5%.
FIIs net bought ₹2,546.38 crore in equities, while DIIs net bought ₹2,774.31 crore yesterday.
US Share Market News
Performance Overview:
On Friday, Wall Street’s major indexes ended higher. Investors returned to tech megacaps, which had caused broad sell-offs earlier in the week.
Optimism grew as inflation data suggested that the Federal Reserve might soon start cutting interest rates.
Sector-Specific Movements:
The S&P 500 rose by 59.88 points (1.11%) to reach 5,459.10.
The Nasdaq Composite climbed by 176.16 points (1.03%) to 17,357.88.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 654.27 points (1.64%) to 40,589.34.
Dow Jones gained significantly, thanks to 3M's impressive 23% jump, marking its largest daily percentage gain in decades after it raised the lower end of its annual adjusted profit forecast.
Economic Indicators:
Headline PCE rose 0.1% month-over-month and 2.5% year-over-year, matching economists’ estimates polled by Dow Jones. This positive inflation news has lifted investor hopes for more rate cuts this year, with the fed funds futures market pricing in cuts in September 2024.
The Fed is expected to keep interest rates unchanged after its two-day meeting on Wednesday. However, any signals on when it plans to start cutting rates will be closely watched, as inflation has shown signs of cooling in recent months.
Corporate Earnings:
Focus is also on the June-quarter earnings reports from Wall Street's biggest companies, including Apple Inc., Microsoft Corporation, Meta Platforms Inc., Advanced Micro Devices Inc., and Amazon, due in the coming days.
Other Asset Classes
Treasury Yields:
Treasury yields eased slightly after the release of mild US inflation data. The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell to 4.193% whereas the 2-year Treasury yield dropped to 4.385%. The inflation data is unlikely to change the Fed’s path towards a less restrictive monetary policy in the coming months.
Currency:
The dollar index, measuring the greenback against a basket of six currencies (including the yen and the euro), was marginally down at 104.08.
Commodities:
US crude oil fell over 1% on Friday, marking a third weekly decline. Concerns about demand in China outweighed strong US economic growth. West Texas Intermediate oil dropped by 3.7% for the week, while Brent fell by 1.8%.
Gold prices rose 1% on Friday as US Treasury yields fell, driven by optimism for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in September. Spot gold increased by 1% to $2,388.05 per ounce, after hitting its lowest point since July 9.
Asian Markets
General Trends:
Asia-Pacific markets climbed on Monday, led by Japan’s Nikkei 225, after a key US inflation report late last Friday raised hopes for an interest rate cut.
Specific Index Performance:
The Nikkei rose by 2.02%, while the broad-based Topix increased by 1.52%.
South Korea’s Kospi was up 0.8% and the small-cap Kosdaq rose by 0.48%.
India Market Outlook
GIFT Nifty Projection:
Gift Nifty signals a positive start for the Indian market, with the Nifty spot likely to trade in the range of 24,750-25,050 levels after a positive start.
Market in Previous Session:
Nifty experienced high volatility but gained 1.24%, closing at 24,834, marking its eighth consecutive week of gains.
In contrast, Bank Nifty underperformed, closing down by 1.86% at 51,295.
The broader market outperformed, with Nifty Midcap and Small-Cap indices gaining 3.33% and 2.48%, respectively.
Nifty Short-Term Outlook:
Looking ahead, Nifty is expected to maintain a positive bias, potentially reaching 25,000-25,200 levels in the coming week.
Immediate support is at last Friday's low of 24,400, sustaining above which will keep the bias positive.
Broad-based market participation is evident, with 88% of NSE 500 constituents trading above their 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), up from 72% two months ago, indicating a robust price structure.
Intraday Levels:
Nifty: Intraday resistance is at 24,980, followed by 25,050 levels. Conversely, downside support is located at 24,810, followed by 24,750.
Bank Nifty: Intraday resistance is positioned at 51,750, followed by 51,980, while downside support is found at 51,180, followed by 50,970.
Fin Nifty: Intraday resistance is positioned at 23,470, followed by 23,600, while downside support is found at 23,260, followed by 22,180.
Derivative Market Analysis
Nifty:
The highest call OI is at 25,000, while the highest put OI is at 24,500.
The highest call OI addition is at 25,200, followed by 25,100. A move above 25,000 may lead to a bullish rally towards 25,200.
Immediate put OI concentration is at 24,800, with the highest put OI addition at 24,600, followed by 24,500. Significant put OI addition below 24,800 suggests a strong support base.
If Nifty drops below 24,800, it could head towards 24,600, whereas 25,000 remains a key resistance level.
The Nifty put-call ratio increased by 0.15 to 1.36.
Bank Nifty:
The highest call OI for Bank Nifty is at 53,000, while the highest put OI is at 50,000.
Immediate call OI concentration is at 51,500, and put OI concentration is at 51,000.
The highest call OI addition is at 52,200, with the highest put OI addition at 50,800.
Significant put unwinding at 51,000 indicates a positive trend, and a large put OI addition below 50,800 suggests a strong support base.
If Bank Nifty drops below 50,800, it could head towards 50,000.
Immediate support is at 51,000, and key resistance is at 51,500.
Breaking 51,500 on the upside could move it towards 52,000.
The Bank Nifty put-call ratio increased by 0.09 to 0.87.
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