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Union Budget 2025: All You Need to Know and Investment Insights

Synopsis:

The Union Budget 2025 emphasizes fiscal consolidation, tax relief, MSME growth, and infrastructure investment. Key highlights include revised tax slabs, ₹11.21 lakh crore capex, enhanced credit for MSMEs, and sector-specific reforms, shaping investment prospects across industries.


The Union Budget 2025, presented by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman on February 1, 2025, lays down the roadmap for India's economic direction in the upcoming financial year. The budget places emphasis on four key growth drivers—Agriculture, Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs), Investments, and Exports. With a focus on economic resilience and productivity enhancement, the announcements made in this budget are expected to shape various sectors significantly.

This blog presents a detailed analysis of the budget's implications based on insights from the Bajaj Broking Research Desk. It also explores sectoral impacts, key fiscal decisions, and investment opportunities arising from this budget.

Fiscal Deficit and Borrowing Plan

The fiscal deficit for FY25 is recorded at 4.8% of GDP, showing an improvement from the initially projected 4.9%. For FY26, the deficit is expected to be 4.4% of GDP, indicating a cautious yet optimistic approach to fiscal consolidation.

  • Gross market borrowing for FY26 is estimated at ₹14.82 lakh crore, reflecting a 5.8% increase over the ₹14.01 lakh crore estimated for FY25.

  • Net market borrowing to finance the fiscal deficit is projected at ₹11.54 lakh crore for FY26, slightly lower than the previous year’s estimate of ₹11.63 lakh crore.

  • The government remains focused on maintaining financial discipline while ensuring sufficient liquidity in the market for productive investments.

Measures to rationalize expenditure and enhance revenue generation are being actively pursued to maintain fiscal health.

The government's commitment to gradual fiscal consolidation is evident, with a focus on balancing expenditure while maintaining financial discipline.

Taxation: New Regime and Reforms

One of the most significant announcements in this budget is the revision in tax slabs under the new regime:

  • Income up to ₹4 lakh: No tax

  • Income from ₹4 lakh to ₹8 lakh: 5%

  • Income from ₹8 lakh to ₹12 lakh: 10%

  • Income from ₹12 lakh to ₹16 lakh: 15%

  • Income from ₹16 lakh to ₹20 lakh: 20%

This structure effectively ensures that individuals with income up to ₹12 lakh will not have to pay any tax, factoring in standard deductions and rebates.

Other taxation highlights:

  • Tax deduction limit for senior citizens has been doubled from ₹50,000 to ₹1 lakh.

  • TDS exemption on rent has been raised from ₹2.4 lakh to ₹6 lakh annually.

  • Updated return filing period extended from two years to four years.

  • Simplified tax compliance for small charitable trusts with a 10-year registration period.

  • Capital gains tax reforms have been proposed to create a more uniform tax structure.

These changes are aimed at providing tax relief while simplifying compliance procedures.

MSME Sector: Credit and Growth Boost

The MSME sector is a crucial component of India’s economy, employing 75 million people and contributing significantly to manufacturing output and exports. The budget introduces several measures to support this segment:

  • Credit guarantee cover enhanced by 2.5x, adding ₹1.5 trillion in additional credit over five years.

  • Term loans for MSMEs extended up to ₹20 lakh.

  • 10 lakh credit cards to be issued to micro enterprises.

  • ₹100 billion fund-of-funds launched for startups and innovation.

  • Digital infrastructure for MSMEs to streamline access to finance and improve ease of doing business.

These measures are expected to boost capital access for small businesses, fostering growth and employment.

Agriculture: Strengthening Rural Economy

The budget maintains its focus on agricultural reforms and rural development:

  • Kisan Credit Card limit raised from ₹3 lakh to ₹5 lakh.

  •  A new scheme to assist 100 districts with low agricultural productivity, benefiting 17 million farmers.

  • Pulses sector receives a six-year mission to enhance self-reliance in production.

  • Investment in cold storage and logistics to reduce post-harvest losses and improve supply chain efficiency.

These initiatives align with the long-term goal of ensuring food security and strengthening the agricultural economy.

Infrastructure, Healthcare, and Education

The government has allocated substantial resources to infrastructure and social development:

  • ₹11.21 lakh crore allocated for capital expenditure in FY26.

  • Broadband connectivity to be extended to all government secondary schools.

  • IIT infrastructure expansion in five post-2014 IITs.

  • Medical college seats to be increased by 75,000 over the next five years.

  • 200 daycare and cancer centers planned across district hospitals.

  • Strengthening rural healthcare facilities and primary care centers.

  • Smart city expansion with better urban planning and development.

These investments are aimed at bridging gaps in infrastructure and improving human capital development.

Sectoral Impact and Investment Opportunities

Power and Clean Energy

  • ₹100 billion allocated for urban energy development.

  • Enhanced focus on solar cell and EV battery manufacturing.

  • Expansion of green technology initiatives in the shipbuilding sector.

  • Hydrogen fuel investment as part of clean energy policy.

Mining and Tourism

  • Mining reforms to develop critical minerals and enhance production.

  • 50 top tourist destinations to be developed with improved e-visa facilities.

  • Investment in archaeological and heritage sites to boost cultural tourism.

Logistics and Ports

  • India Post transformation into a logistics company to benefit supply chain firms.

  • Increased investment in infrastructure development to strengthen logistics networks.

  • Modernization of major ports for higher efficiency in trade.

Insurance and Pharmaceuticals

  • FDI limit in insurance raised to 100%, opening avenues for foreign investment.

  • Customs duty exemptions on 36 essential drugs.

  • R&D incentives for pharmaceutical companies investing in innovation.

Manufacturing and Defence

  • National Manufacturing Mission to enhance clean manufacturing and MSME development.

  • Plans to develop five small reactors by 2033.

  • 100 gigawatts of nuclear energy target by 2027.

  • Defence indigenization initiatives to support local manufacturers.

Stocks to Buy and Investment Themes

Several companies stand to benefit from these budget announcements:

United Spirits

  • Buying range: ₹1390-1450

  • Target: ₹1690 (12 months)

  • Rationale: The budget’s excise duty adjustments favor operational cost reduction, positively impacting margins.

Dabur India

  • Buying range: ₹530-550

  • Target: ₹638 (12 months)

  • Rationale: The boost in consumer spending due to tax relief is expected to drive demand for FMCG products.

Exide Industries

  • Buying range: ₹368-382

  • Target: ₹448 (12 months)

  • Rationale: Customs duty exemptions on battery raw materials and EV-related growth measures support profitability.

Conclusion

The Union Budget 2025 underscores the government's commitment to fostering sustainable economic growth through a balanced approach to taxation, infrastructure, and sectoral reforms. The measures introduced are expected to positively impact multiple industries, providing investment opportunities in various sectors. Investors should assess these changes carefully and consider their long-term implications for portfolio diversification and growth.


Source: Bajaj Broking Research Desk

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Disclaimer: Investments in the securities market are subject to market risk, read all related documents carefully before investing.

This content is for educational purposes only. Securities quoted are exemplary and not recommendatory.

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