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Global markets ended the week on a mixed note, with the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq rebounding on Friday. However, they still registered their fourth straight losing week due to trade war concerns and a drop in consumer sentiment. Key economic data, including we and China retail sales and industrial production, alongside central bank meetings from the US, UK, and Japan will influence the market’s direction.
Treasury yields increased, while gold surged past $3,000 due to inflation fears. Asian markets opened on a positive note as China announced new measures to boost consumption.
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Nifty is expected to consolidate within the 22,300-22,700 range, maintaining a short-term bullish outlook unless it breaches the 22,200 support level. Key stocks in focus include Zydus Life, Galaxy Surfactants, and KEC International, while derivatives data suggest strong put support at 22,200 and resistance at 22,700.
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Zydus Life receives final approval from the USFDA for Eluxadoline Tablets, strengthening its US market presence.
Galaxy Surfactants announces an ₹18 per share interim dividend for FY25, rewarding its investors.
FIIs net sold ₹792.90 crore, while DIIs were net buyers with ₹1,723 crore inflows, showing strong domestic support amid volatility.
On Thursday, benchmark indices closed near their day's lows, with Nifty slipping below 22,400 due to weakness in IT and banking stocks. The index initially crossed 22,500 but saw mid-session profit booking, closing lower.
Sensex: Down 201 points (0.27%) at 73,828.91
Nifty: Declined 73 points (0.33%) to 22,397.20
Decliners: Auto, IT, Metal, Media, Realty (down 0.5-1% each)
Gainers: PSU Bank Index (up 0.5%)
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Nifty formed a bear candle on Thursday, enclosed within the previous session’s high-low range, indicating consolidation with a corrective bias near the 50% retracement level of the previous uptrend (21,965–22,676). The index has taken four sessions to retrace 50% of its prior four-session rally, suggesting strength.
We expect Nifty to hold above the 22,300-22,200 support zone and extend its pullback towards 22,700–23,000 levels in the coming sessions. A breach below 22,200 could indicate a downward bias, potentially leading to further declines towards 22,000–21,700.
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Resistance: 22,570 & 22,680
Support: 22,310 & 22,200
The S&P 500 rallied on Friday, led by tech stocks, but still closed its fourth straight losing week amid trade war concerns and weakening consumer sentiment. The Dow Jones gained 1.7%, the S&P 500 rose 2%, and the NASDAQ surged 2.6%.
The University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 57.9 in March, the lowest since November 2022, reflecting rising uncertainty over tariffs and economic outlook.
US Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, and Bank of England meetings (March 19-20)
US and China Retail Sales & Industrial Production Data (March 18)
Developments in global trade war talks
Japan: Nikkei 225 +0.99%, Topix +1.10%
South Korea: Kospi +1.23%, Kosdaq +0.32%
China: Announced measures to boost consumption by increasing incomes
Gift Nifty suggests a positive start for Indian markets, mirroring a pullback in global equities. Nifty is likely to trade within 22,300–22,700.
With a crucial week ahead, markets will closely monitor central bank meetings, economic data releases, and global trade tensions. Stay updated with Markets Daily by Bajaj Broking for in-depth option chain analysis, key trends, and expert insights to make informed investment decisions. Don’t forget to subscribe for daily insights!
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