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Global markets extended gains last week, with the Nasdaq, S&P 500, and Dow posting solid weekly advances, driven by consumer discretionary and tech sectors. US Treasury yields declined, the dollar stayed firm, while crude oil saw mixed moves, and gold fell. Asian markets opened cautiously higher, and Gift Nifty indicated a positive start for Indian markets. However, Indian indices ended lower in the previous session amid geopolitical tensions, with broader markets underperforming sharply.
For the short term, Nifty’s outlook remains volatile between the 23,800 – 24,365 levels, while Bank Nifty is expected to consolidate between 53,500 – 55,500. Key corporate developments and strong FII/DII buying were noted, but option data points to heavy resistance overhead and elevated market volatility ahead.
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Gift Nifty suggests a positive opening for Indian markets, likely to trade within the broad range of 23,850–24,400.
Markets in the Previous Session:
Indian benchmark indices ended in the red for the second consecutive session, weighed down by heightened volatility amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and weakness in the Indian Rupee. The markets opened on a subdued note and remained under selling pressure throughout the day.
The BSE Sensex declined by 588.90 points or 0.74%, settling at 79,212.53.
The NSE Nifty plunged by 207.35 points or 0.86%, closing at 24,039.35.
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Sectoral Overview:
Nifty IT was the lone gainer, benefiting from selective buying interest, while most other indices ended in the negative territory.
Nifty PSU Bank, Realty, Metals, and Financial Services sectors were the hardest hit, each declining between 2-3%, reflecting broader weakness in the market.
BSE Midcap and BSE Small Cap indices underperformed, falling 2.44% and 2.56% respectively, signaling a broad-based risk-off sentiment.
Mahindra to Acquire Stake in SML Isuzu:
Mahindra has announced plans to acquire a 58.96% stake in SML Isuzu for ₹555 crore, which will boost its presence in the Trucks and Buses segment.
NTPC Green Partners with Honeywell UOP:
NTPC Green has signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with Honeywell UOP India to explore the production of sustainable aviation fuel through a feasibility study.
FII/DII Activity:
FIIs net bought ₹2,952.33 crore, while DIIs net bought ₹3,539.85 crore in equities on Friday.
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Nifty Short-Term Outlook:
The index formed a large bearish candle with a long lower shadow, indicating profit booking at higher levels, while the lower shadow shows buying support at lower levels.
After breaking Wednesday’s low (24,120), the index saw a sharp decline, nearly testing the support zone around 23,800.
Over the past three sessions, the highs have been around 24,365, marking a key resistance level for the coming week.
Resistance Levels:
24,190 & 24,300
Support Levels:
23,950 & 23,840
If the index surpasses the 24,365 mark, it could head towards 24,550, which is the 61.8% retracement of the fall from 26,277 to 21,743. However, if it fails to break the resistance, consolidation between 24,350 and 23,800 is likely. A break below 23,800 could lead to a deeper correction towards the 200-day EMA near 23,400.
Volatility is expected to stay high due to ongoing geopolitical tensions, tariff-related news, and developments in the Q4 earnings season.
Bank Nifty Outlook:
Resistance Levels:
55,000 & 55,270
Support Levels:
54,370 & 54,100
This wraps up today’s Markets Daily. Stay informed and prepared as you navigate the markets this week. Have a great Monday ahead! Don’t forget to subscribe to our podcast.
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