BAJAJ BROKING
Today’s share market’s key developments include: Bank of Baroda plans capital raising via QIP, Mahindra Lifespaces secures a ₹950 crore project, Time Technoplast wins a ₹40.6 crore order, the Centre allocates ₹10,599 crore for Odisha railways, the government works on a uniform toll policy, and FIIs net sell ₹3,958.37 crore while DIIs net buy ₹2,708.23 crore in equities.
11:30 AM IST | 4 Feb 2025
Stock Market LIVE Update | Sensex climbs over 600 points | Nifty surpasses 23,500
The Sensex surged over 600 points, pushing the Nifty past 23,500. Bitcoin rebounded above $99,000 after the U.S. paused tariffs on Canada and Mexico. NLC India’s stock soared 12% following a 28% YoY rise in Q3 PAT to ₹2,245 crore, alongside a ₹1.50 interim dividend announcement. UBS Group reported a $770 million Q4 net profit, exceeding estimates. The Nifty Metal index gained over 1%, with Vedanta, Hind Copper, Hindalco, SAIL, and National Aluminium registering gains of 2-3%.
10:30 AM IST | 4 Feb 2025
Stock Market LIVE Update | Sensex jumped over 500 points | while Nifty crossed 23,500
Sensex surged over 500 points, while Nifty crossed 23,500. Gold prices remained strong on Tuesday, holding near a record high of $2,830.49 amid concerns over U.S. tariffs on China and inflation. Spot gold edged up 0.3% to $2,820.94 per ounce. Jefferies lowered LIC Housing’s target price to Rs 700 but retained a ‘buy’ rating. The Nifty PSU Bank index rose over 2%, with Bank of India and Union Bank shares climbing over 4%, while Canara Bank and Bank of Baroda saw gains above 2%.
9:30 AM IST | 4 Feb 2025
Stock Market LIVE Update | Sensex surged over 700 points | Nifty crossed 23,550
Sensex surged over 700 points, while Nifty crossed 23,550, driven by gains in Infosys and M&M, both up 2%. Power Grid shares fell nearly 4% after reporting a 4% year-on-year decline in Q3 net profit to ₹3,861.63 crore. Hindalco and ONGC were among the top gainers. The rupee rebounded by 13 paise to 86.98 against the US dollar. Morning trade saw strong performances from Motherson Sumi, BEL, Vodafone Idea, and PNB, with Castrol India surging 8.96%.
GIFT NIFTY: Gift Nifty suggests a positive opening for the Indian market amid firm Asian cues. We expect the Nifty spot in todays session to trade in the range 23,640-23,200
INDIA VIX: 14.35 | +0.26 (1.83%) ↑ today
1. Bank Of Baroda To Consider Capital Raising Via Various Modes Including QIP On February 13.
2. Mahindra Lifespaces bags ₹950 cr in order to develop 3 residential societies in Mumbai.
3. Time Technoplast: WINS RS 40.6 CR ORDER. The company has received an Order for the supply of Type IV cylinders - Mobile Storage Cascades, with a total order value of approximately Rs. 40.64 Crores. This order is from a well-established PSU, which is a joint venture of Government owned enterprises.
4. IRCON, RITES , RALTEL, IRFC : Centre allocates Rs 10,599 cr for rail network development in Odisha.
5. IRB Infra, Ashoka Buildcon, Dilip Builcon; Govt working on uniform toll policy to provide relief to commuters on National Highways Says Nitin Gadkari.
6. FIIs net sell ₹3,958.37 crore while DIIs net buy ₹2,708.23 cr in equities.
Other Asset Classes
Treasury Yield:
U.S. Treasury yields were mixed on Monday as investors weighed U.S. President Donald Trump’s new tariffs on goods from key trade partners and their effect on the economy. The 10-year Treasury yield was down 3 basis points at 4.535%.
Currency:
The dollar index was lower on Monday. It was down 0.5% at 108.96. It had touched a three-week high of 109.88 in early trading.
Commodities:
Gold prices hit an all-time high on Monday, bolstered by safe-haven inflows. Spot gold rose 0.8% to $2,818.99 per ounce.
Oil prices edged up in volatile trade on Monday. Concerns over imports from two of the main crude suppliers to the U.S. boosted prices by over $1 a barrel earlier in the session. Brent crude futures for April delivery rose 0.4% to settle at $75.96 a barrel.
Asian Markets
General Trends:
Asia-Pacific markets rose Tuesday after Donald Trump paused tariffs on Mexico for a month, while Canada also said the U.S. president had put on hold proposed tariffs on its exports.
Specific Index Performance:
Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 started the day 1.64% higher, while the broader Topix index advanced 1.37%. South Korea’s Kospi rose 1.26% while the small-cap Kosdaq gained 1.86%.
India Market Outlook
Market in Previous Session:
Indian equity indices closed lower on Monday, with the Nifty closing around 23,350. A downturn in the global equity markets impacted Indian benchmarks negatively after Trump announced tariffs on China, Mexico, and Canada, sparking investor pessimism. Moreover, the rupee's sharp depreciation, crossing the 87 mark against the dollar, fueled concerns that foreign investors may not reverse their selling trend.
The Sensex fell by 319 points or 0.41% to settle at 77,186, while the Nifty declined 121 points or 0.52% to finish at 23,361.
The BSE Midcap index declined by nearly 1%, while the Smallcap index fell 1.7%.
On the sectoral front, Consumer Durables gained 0.5%, and IT advanced 0.7%, while all other sectoral indices ended lower. The Capital Goods index saw the biggest drop, down 4%, while Energy, Metal, Oil & Gas, Power, and PSU indices declined by 2-3%.
TRADE SETUP FOR FEB 4
Nifty Short-Term Outlook:
Index has formed a small bull candle with a lower shadow and gap above its head in the intraday chart (23482-23381), signaling consolidation after 850 points up move in 1 week.
Nifty has seen some profit booking after testing its key resistance area of 23,600-23,700 lead by weak global cues. We expect the index to consolidate in the range of 23,000-23,700 in the coming sessions. Volatility is expected to stay high on account of volatile global cues, Delhi Election outcome and RBI monetary policy outcome in the coming week.
Only a move above 23,600-23,700 being the confluence of 200 & 50 days EMA and the previous breakdown area will open further upside towards 24,000-24,200 levels in the coming weeks.
Intraday Levels:
Nifty: Intraday resistance is at 23,520 followed by 23,640 levels. Conversely, downside support is located at 23,310, followed by 23,200.
Bank Nifty: Intraday resistance is positioned at 49,630, followed by 49,900, while downside support is found at 49,110, followed by 48,800.
Derivative Market Analysis
Nifty:
The highest call OI has been observed at the 24,000 level, whereas addition has been noted at 23,500, which will act as immediate resistance. A breakout and a sustained move above this level may trigger further upside.
Substantial put OI has been positioned at the 23,000 level, while immediate put OI is placed in the 23,200–23,300 zone, which will act as crucial support.
According to option chain analysis, the deciding range for Nifty is between 23,200 and 23,500. A breakout on either side of this range may trigger a further directional move.
Nifty's put-call ratio remained unchanged at 0.87.
Bank Nifty:
The highest put OI has been noted at the 49,000 level, which will act as crucial support. Breaching and holding below this level may trigger further downside correction.
On the other hand, major call OI is positioned at the 51,000 level, while immediate call OI is noted at 50,000. If Bank Nifty surpasses this level, short covering could be possible.
According to option chain analysis, Bank Nifty's broader range is between 49,000 and 51,000.
Bank Nifty's put-call ratio remained unchanged at 0.79.
US Share Market News
Performance Overview:
The S&P 500 closed lower on Monday, but above the low of the day after President Donald Trump's decision to pause tariffs on Mexico and Canada by a month eased fears somewhat about the economic impact of a global trade war.
Sector-Specific Movements:
Investors were relieved by Trump agreeing to delay 25% trade tariffs against Canada and Mexico by 30 days. But Trump’s 10% duty on China is still set to take effect from Tuesday. Investors also remained on edge over trade uncertainty under Trump, given that he has still expressed his intent to impose more trade duties, especially a 10% universal tariff.
The S&P 500 on Monday fell 0.8% to 5,994 points, while the NASDAQ Composite fell 1.2% to 19,391 points. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.3% to 44,422 points.
More than 120 companies in the S&P 500 are set to report their results, including the likes of Google-parent Alphabet and e-commerce giant Amazon, which are set to unveil their quarterly figures on Tuesday and Thursday, respectively.
Economic Indicators:
Beyond earnings, focus this week is also on key nonfarm payrolls data for January, due on Friday. The reading is likely to factor into expectations for interest rates.
Stay on top of the latest market news with Bajaj Broking’s insights. Our point-to-point expert analysis digs deep into the surface, empowering you with a unique perspective on domestic and global stock market events. Get all the current share market news, including US share market updates and the trade set up for today, in one place to make wise investment decisions.
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