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RBI Monetary Policy Review: December 2024

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The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) concluded its final Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting for 2024, delivering a mix of policy continuity and strategic interventions to address economic challenges. With inflationary pressures and global uncertainties shaping its decisions, the central bank has opted to maintain the repo rate at current levels while introducing measures to support liquidity, boost rural credit, and attract foreign investments.

Here’s a comprehensive look at the key updates and their implications.

Key Announcements from the RBI Monetary Policy Meeting

1. Repo Rate Unchanged at 6.5%

For the eleventh consecutive meeting, the RBI has held the repo rate steady at 6.5%, signalling its commitment to inflation management while supporting economic growth.

2. GDP Growth Outlook Revised

Acknowledging global and domestic economic headwinds, the RBI revised its GDP growth forecast for FY25 from 7.2% to 6.6%. Here’s a breakdown of the revised quarterly estimates:

Quarter

Previous Forecast

Revised Forecast

Q3 FY25

7.4%

6.8%

Q4 FY25

7.4%

7.2%

Q1 FY26

7.3%

6.9%

3. Inflation Estimates Adjusted

Despite annual retail inflation breaching the upper tolerance band at 6.21% in October, the RBI anticipates easing pressures. Inflation for FY25 is forecasted at 4.8%, with a downward trajectory expected in subsequent quarters.

4. CRR Reduced to 4%

In a significant move to enhance liquidity, the RBI slashed the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) by 50 basis points. This will inject ₹1.16 lakh crore into the banking system, supporting credit growth and financial stability.

5. Foreign Investment Incentives

To attract more foreign capital, the RBI has raised the interest rate ceilings on FCNR-B deposits and increased FCNR deposit rates. These measures aim to strengthen the rupee and enhance India’s appeal as an investment destination.

6. Support for the Agricultural Sector

The RBI has increased the limit for collateral-free agricultural loans from ₹1.6 lakh to ₹2 lakh per borrower, a critical step in empowering rural communities and fostering economic inclusivity.

7. Ethical AI and New Benchmarks

  • The RBI will introduce a new benchmark for secured overnight rupee rates, improving the efficiency of money market transactions.
  • An expert panel will be established to create a framework for the responsible use of artificial intelligence (AI) in the financial sector.

Impact on the Economy and Markets

1. Easing Liquidity Constraints

The reduction in CRR will help ease liquidity pressures, lower borrowing costs, and support credit flow to businesses.

2. Encouraging Rural Demand

Increased agricultural credit limits will help drive rural consumption and investment, benefiting sectors reliant on rural markets.

3. Stable Inflation Outlook

With inflation projected to moderate, consumers and businesses alike can expect some relief in cost pressures.

4. Strengthening the Investment Climate

Higher FCNR deposit rates are expected to attract foreign capital, bolstering the rupee and reducing external vulnerabilities.

What This Means for Investors

For investors, these developments can open up opportunities across multiple sectors:

  • Banking: Enhanced liquidity and stable repo rates will boost loan growth and profitability for financial institutions.
  • Agriculture: Increased rural credit limits will benefit companies focused on rural markets.
  • Technology: The ethical AI framework positions India as a leader in responsible financial innovation.

Closing Thoughts

The RBI’s December 2024 policy review reflects a carefully balanced approach to managing inflation, sustaining growth, and promoting financial stability. While challenges persist, these measures provide a roadmap for navigating uncertain times.

As an investor, staying informed and strategically positioned is essential. Bajaj Broking's expert research team can help you identify opportunities arising from these policy changes.

For more details, check out the report by Bajaj Broking’s Research Desk

 

Disclaimer: Investments in the securities market are subject to market risk, read all related documents carefully before investing.

This content is for educational purposes only. Securities quoted are exemplary and not recommendatory.

For All Disclaimers Click Here: https://bit.ly/3Tcsfuc

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