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Today’s share market’s key developments include: Lupin secures a tentative USFDA nod for an HIV drug, RVNL wins a ₹404 crore rail project, and Alkem launches Kojiglo Serum. Godfrey Phillips and Hero MotoCorp face GST demands, while FIIs turn net buyers, purchasing ₹809.23 crore in equities.
11:30 AM IST | 5 Feb 2025
Stock Market LIVE Update | Sensex declines over 200 points | Nifty falls below 23,750
The Sensex declined over 200 points, while the Nifty slipped below 23,750. SBI is expected to post up to 8 percent year-on-year growth in net interest income for Q3, with profit surging by 89 percent due to strong loan expansion. Gold prices reached an all-time high, surpassing ₹84,200 per 10 grams. The Nifty index opened higher, later rallying 340 points. Ajax Engineering’s IPO launches on February 10 with a price band of ₹599-629 per share.
10:45 AM IST | 5 Feb 2025
Stock Market LIVE Update | Sensex dropped over 100 points | Nifty fell below 23,750
The Sensex declined over 100 points, with the Nifty slipping below 23,750. Torrent Power surged 7.4 percent after reporting a 33 percent YoY rise in Q3 net profit. Tata Power rose 3 percent after a 10 percent profit increase. Asian Paints fell 5 percent following a 23 percent profit decline. RVNL gained 4 percent after securing a ₹404 crore railway contract. Titan dipped 2.4 percent after a marginal profit decline. Global markets remained mixed, while 124 companies, including Swiggy and Info Edge, announced Q3 results.
9:15 AM IST | 5 Feb 2025
Stock Market LIVE Update | Sensex sees a choppy start | Nifty holds above 23,750
The Sensex had a volatile opening, while the Nifty remained above 23,750. Titan shares will be in focus after a 0.6 percent dip in Q3 consolidated net profit to ₹1,047 crore, despite a 25 percent rise in total income. Asian Paints reported a 23 percent decline in net profit to ₹1,110 crore. Tata Power saw a 10 percent profit increase to ₹1,188 crore. ITC Hotels will be removed from 22 BSE indices before trading begins on February 5.
GIFT NIFTY: Gift Nifty suggests a positive start to Indian market amid firm global cues. We expect Nifty spot in todays session to trade in the range of 23,950-23,500 amid stock specific action.
INDIA VIX: 14.02 | -0.34 (2.33%) ↓ today
1. Lupin confirms getting tentative USFDA nod for HIV drug.
2. RVNL receives LoA for a project worth ₹404 cr from East Coast Railway.
3. Alkem Laboratories launches Kojiglo Serum in India to manage facial hyperpigmentation.
4. GodfreyPhillips receives ₹166 crore GST demand order, plans to appeal.
5. HeroMotoCorp gets two GST penalty demand orders of ₹456 cr.
6. FIIs net buy ₹809.23 cr while DIIs net sell ₹430.70 cr in equities yesterday (provisional).FIIs turn net buyers in the cash market after 23 days.
Other Asset Classes
Treasury Yield:
The yield on the 10-year Treasury slid on Tuesday as traders assessed global trade tensions and awaited more economic data. The benchmark US 10-year yield was down more than 3 basis points to trade at 4.511%.
Currency:
The U.S. dollar edged lower on Tuesday. It was down by 0.95% at 107.96.
Commodities:
Gold prices regained an all-time high on Tuesday, driven by investors seeking the safe-haven asset after China retaliated with tariffs on the U.S. in response to President Donald Trump’s tariffs. Spot gold gained 1.1% to $2,843.06 per ounce.
Global benchmark Brent crude futures rose 0.32%, to close at $76.20
Asian Markets
General Trends:
Asia-Pacific markets were set to start higher on Wednesday, as Wall Street rose overnight, shrugging off Trump tariffs and China’s retaliation to measures.
Specific Index Performance:
All eyes will be on China, which will resume trading after the Lunar New Year holidays.
Japan benchmark Nikkei 225 started the day up 0.71% while the broader Topix index advanced 0.88%. South Korea’s Kospi began 0.93% higher, while the small-cap Kosdaq was up 0.98%.
India Market Outlook
Market in Previous Session:
Indian equity indices ended on a strong note on Tuesday with buying seen in index heavyweights and banking stocks surging amid heightened optimism over a potential rate cut in this week's RBI policy, marking the first meeting under the new governor’s leadership. Riding on strong Asian cues both the benchmark indices witnessed a gap-up opening and sustained its bullish trajectory throughout the session. Nifty closing above 23,700.
The Sensex jumped 1,397 points or 1.81% to 78,583.81, while the Nifty rose 378 points or 1.62% to settle at 23,739.25.
Broader market traded with positive bias as the Nifty Midcap and small cap closed the session higher by 1.45% and 1.08% respectively. On the sectoral front, barring FMCG, all other indices closed on a bullish note, with Nifty PSU Bank, Infra, Energy, and Oil & Gas rallying 2% each.
TRADE SETUP FOR FEB 5
Nifty Short-Term Outlook:
Index has formed a sizable bull candle with a higher high and higher low and a bullish gap below its base (23380-23425) signaling resumption of up move after last two sessions consolidation.
Nifty in the process closed above the key hurdle area of 23,600-23,650 being the confluence of last week high, key moving averages (200- & 50-days EMA) and the previous breakout area signaling strength.
We expect the index extend the up move and head towards 24,000-24,200 levels in the coming sessions while today’s gap up area (23,380-23,425) will act as immediate support.
Volatility is expected to stay high on account of volatile global cues, RBI monetary policy outcome and Delhi Election outcome in the coming week.
Intraday Levels:
Nifty: Intraday resistance is at 23,860 followed by 23,950 levels. Conversely, downside support is located at 23,620, followed by 23,500.
Bank Nifty: Intraday resistance is positioned at 50,470, followed by 50,700, while downside support is found at 49,870, followed by 49,600.
Derivative Market Analysis
Nifty:
Put writers are gradually shifting their positions across the strike range of 23,400 to 23,700, which will serve as multiple support levels for Nifty.
Call unwinding has been observed up to the 24,000 level, and call writers are shifting their positions higher, indicating caution regarding an upside move—this suggests a positive data point.
According to option chain analysis, put writers' dominance can be observed, indicating strong support. A breakout above 23,800 could trigger a move toward 24,000.
Nifty put-call ratio has increased by 0.29, now positioned at 1.16.
Bank Nifty:
The major put OI is noted at the 49,000 level, while additional positions have been added at 50,000, making it a crucial support for Bank Nifty. A breach below this level may trigger a correction.
Put writers have shifted their positions from 49,000 to 50,000, indicating confidence in a positive outlook.
Call writers have moved to higher levels, and call unwinding has been noted, suggesting that call writers are cautious about an upside move.
According to option chain analysis, the immediate range for Bank Nifty is 50,000 to 51,000. A breakout on either side of this range may trigger a further directional move.
The put-call ratio has increased by 0.12, now positioned at 0.91.
US Share Market News
Performance Overview:
US stocks closed higher on Tuesday as Investors largely looked past a brewing trade war with China, after Trump’s 10% tariffs against the country took effect. Beijing retaliated with its own import tariffs and export controls, and also launched an antitrust investigation into Google.
Sector-Specific Movements:
Trump signaled that he was in no hurry to negotiate with Chinese President Xi Jinping, with the tariffs now set to remain in place for the foreseeable future.
Gains in the Oil & Gas, Technology and Consumer Services sectors propelled shares higher. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.30%, while the S&P 500 index added 0.72%, and the NASDAQ Composite index climbed 1.35%.
China accounts for a substantial portion of US imports, with any retaliation from Beijing likely to further destabilize global trade. China is the US's third-biggest trading partner behind Mexico and Canada.
Economic Indicators:
Post close of US market Google parent company Alphabet came with its quarterly numbers. The company’s fourth-quarter revenue missed expectations, especially on disappointing earnings from its cloud division, which is closely tied to AI.
Investors are now bracing for further volatility with the start of a renewed trade war between the world’s biggest economies.
Stay on top of the latest market news with Bajaj Broking’s insights. Our point-to-point expert analysis digs deep into the surface, empowering you with a unique perspective on domestic and global stock market events. Get all the current share market news, including US share market updates and the trade set up for today, in one place to make wise investment decisions.
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